Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.004002 0.004206 0.004415 0.004645 0.004893 0.005150 0.005439
2025-01-05 0.003587 0.003886 0.004206 0.004574 0.004988 0.005441 0.005975
2025-01-12 0.003372 0.003729 0.004121 0.004586 0.005127 0.005738 0.006489
2025-01-19 0.003106 0.003485 0.003910 0.004427 0.005041 0.005755 0.006657
2025-01-26 0.002986 0.003397 0.003866 0.004448 0.005156 0.006001 0.007098
2025-02-02 0.002941 0.003389 0.003910 0.004570 0.005391 0.006395 0.007739
2025-02-09 0.002812 0.003272 0.003816 0.004514 0.005400 0.006505 0.008017
2025-02-16 0.002720 0.003196 0.003765 0.004507 0.005465 0.006683 0.008389
2025-02-23 0.002629 0.003114 0.003702 0.004479 0.005499 0.006819 0.008707
2025-03-02 0.002579 0.003082 0.003699 0.004526 0.005629 0.007084 0.009214
2025-03-09 0.002497 0.003006 0.003635 0.004489 0.005644 0.007192 0.009504
2025-03-16 0.002420 0.002931 0.003571 0.004448 0.005650 0.007286 0.009774
2025-03-23 0.002328 0.002837 0.003479 0.004369 0.005603 0.007308 0.009947
2025-03-30 0.002246 0.002754 0.003400 0.004304 0.005573 0.007352 0.010155
2025-04-06 0.002200 0.002715 0.003378 0.004315 0.005649 0.007549 0.010607
2025-04-13 0.002096 0.002597 0.003245 0.004168 0.005493 0.007399 0.010505
2025-04-20 0.002061 0.002569 0.003232 0.004188 0.005576 0.007606 0.010981
2025-04-27 0.002062 0.002589 0.003285 0.004300 0.005798 0.008033 0.011842
2025-05-04 0.002004 0.002529 0.003225 0.004248 0.005776 0.008080 0.012073
2025-05-11 0.001965 0.002492 0.003196 0.004242 0.005819 0.008231 0.012489
2025-05-18 0.001922 0.002448 0.003157 0.004217 0.005832 0.008335 0.012827
2025-05-25 0.001903 0.002438 0.003163 0.004259 0.005951 0.008613 0.013494
2025-06-01 0.001861 0.002393 0.003120 0.004226 0.005948 0.008691 0.013801